Thoughts and analysis on the Philadelphia Eagles

Schedule Chatter

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So last week the Eagles released their 2006 schedule. I figured that since I had already written 2 lengthy and stat heavy blogs, I’d let it sink in for a week so everyone would draw their own conclusions, make their win/loss picks, and generally freak out.

So unless you live under a rock, here it is…

Sun 9/10 at Houston 1:00 pm
Sun 9/17 NY Giants 1:00 pm
Sun 9/24 at San Francisco 4:15 pm
Mon 10/2 Green Bay 8:30 pm
Sun 10/8 Dallas 4:15 pm
Sun 10/15 at New Orleans 1:00 pm
Sun 10/22 at Tampa Bay 1:00 pm
Sun 10/29 Jacksonville 1:00 pm
Sun 11/12 Washington 1:00 pm
Sun 11/19 Tennessee 1:00 pm
Sun 11/26 at Indianapolis 1:00 pm
Mon 12/4 Carolina 8:30 pm
Sun 12/10 at Washington 1:00 pm
Sun 12/17 at NY Giants 1:00 pm
Mon 12/25 at Dallas 5:00 pm
Sun 12/31 Atlanta 1:00 pm

We all love to go game by game map out the team’s season throughout the playoffs. People on message boards & sports radio have been predicting everything from 4-12 to 12-4. The short answer is… no one is right. Did we all forget that this is the NFL?

The NFL is the most unpredictable sport from season to season. Last year, the only team in the NFC to make the playoffs that also made it in 04 was the Seattle Seahawks. GB, STL, ATL, PHI, & The Vikes all went from playoff teams to .500 or less records. In the AFC, the NY Jets went from a field goal away from the AFC title game to having the 4th pick in the draft this year.

Look at the so called “Superbowl losers' curse”. Since 1998 only one team (the 2000 Titans) followed up a loss in the superbowl with a playoff appearance. Every other team was sub .500 the following year, a thing that Eagles fans know all too well…

However, there are absolutes in the 06 schedule. Regardless of whether the Giants, Skins, or Dallas are the ones bitten with the injury bug or the ones cursed with a 6-10 season that 3 game road stretch in weeks 14-16 is murder. According to sports book makers(or the guys who set the betting lines) the 2nd of two back to back road games in the NFL is one of the surest bets against the road team. You can imagine the odds a team gets in it’s last of three road games… Unfortunately there really are no odds because it pretty much never happens! Only 5 times in the last 11 years has a team played 3 division road games in a row. One of those 5 teams happened to be the Eagles, in Andy Reid’s first year here(1999). The birds lost all 3 of those in a row…

On that same note, another bad spot in the schedule are week 6 & 7. Against NO and Tampa respectively. Tampa is a playoff team and playing them in game two of a back to back road games is a tall order… Of course, Tampa could be awful next year. It’s impossible to tell.

The main point here is that you shouldn’t panic. What team wasn’t scared of playing the Eagles in Philly week 12 before last year? Yet, they stunk. So why worry about playing Indy in the dome? If Peyton Manning is gone like McNabb was by that time, I guarantee no Eagles fan is checking that game off as a loss. The Eagles could have the easiest schedule in the NFL or the hardest. Who knows? This is the NFL...

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